Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1224.211011 1395.555980 1587.463264 1819.300744 2093.072269 2407.635084 2798.668054
2025-07-27 981.634960 1209.307116 1489.576943 1864.122840 2357.854802 2995.415662 3895.810178
2025-08-03 849.479511 1098.827081 1424.848499 1890.362073 2551.355505 3477.315378 4911.468748
2025-08-10 769.221729 1035.432719 1401.236426 1953.486486 2789.406284 4047.541848 6166.461342
2025-08-17 697.538808 970.153845 1360.498120 1978.128178 2965.755142 4548.783540 7423.743211
2025-08-24 636.027384 909.705972 1315.727693 1985.102354 3108.997933 5016.151425 8730.838422
2025-08-31 585.745959 858.903175 1277.232879 1993.078639 3250.211484 5500.460505 10187.215514
2025-09-07 548.758537 823.646996 1257.422849 2026.551705 3437.210968 6098.361859 12027.019715
2025-09-14 498.835253 762.488613 1188.443262 1965.327881 3440.850679 6346.206052 13192.192366
2025-09-21 456.661709 709.728463 1127.493064 1909.588464 3444.274704 6591.180794 14417.935374
2025-09-28 418.540558 660.208614 1066.943579 1846.563282 3422.623422 6777.695927 15556.533660
2025-10-05 404.530038 650.025709 1073.327215 1909.239768 3664.562983 7586.743966 18559.499676
2025-10-12 383.468368 626.828507 1056.004792 1927.566044 3825.028689 8267.524290 21542.209115
2025-10-19 367.092378 610.614408 1050.082367 1968.695339 4045.417479 9154.310836 25549.450385
2025-10-26 350.768129 592.880898 1039.191784 1997.540631 4242.392595 10032.480520 29956.476430
2025-11-02 340.342335 584.972275 1046.103694 2064.906957 4543.934698 11275.924698 36313.913088
2025-11-09 326.213194 568.838700 1035.117850 2091.262250 4748.978846 12307.194950 42497.644914
2025-11-16 311.343755 550.043367 1016.899948 2098.717492 4906.914863 13246.109273 48913.195546
2025-11-23 297.812165 532.762441 1000.111717 2107.246170 5069.830431 14252.989069 56347.267964
2025-11-30 287.798455 521.624418 995.048343 2143.041736 5316.173292 15618.919726 66608.755438
2025-12-07 269.843314 493.255892 950.850800 2077.576121 5259.443221 15916.444244 71496.828986
2025-12-14 253.791567 467.716761 910.779399 2017.998963 5210.781425 16235.874840 76827.393133
2025-12-21 238.330934 442.437394 869.392919 1950.662722 5128.092955 16410.253027 81500.018592